Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70dc7d041bb10a1802fee6788f742f0480582eb09f550a7e6014440337fbfbdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed Over | 66c | 3,479$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.23 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 73c | 3,188$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.26 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 1c | 2,927$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 1,334$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.57 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 57c | 1,083$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.52 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Under | 10c | 1,043$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Under | 1c | 1,037$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Under | 27c | 1,000$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 581.03$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 60c | 507.26$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.06 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 28c | 448.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 7c | 416.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 14c | 322.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…d7a1backed Under | 8c | 263.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 72c | 216.92$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 25c | 149.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 73c | 148.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 29c | 102.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 99.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 71c | 87.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 87.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5749…357cbacked Over | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…6037backed Under | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Over | 75c | 79.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…def4backed Over | 62c | 74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0449…29ffbacked Under | 38c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856d…c13bbacked Under | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 30c | 69.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 27c | 69.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…f66abacked Over | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8260…6091backed Under | 39c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe66…09e1backed Over | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…d4debacked Over | 58c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…3c96backed Under | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 65c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…67eebacked Under | 41c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb138…7252backed Over | 59c | 56.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 74c | 56.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff39…1d07backed Over | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…dca6backed Under | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 19c | 54.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…a842backed Under | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc242…3b04backed Over | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1c…015abacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…b479backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…a7ecbacked Under | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030b…8012backed Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 26c | 41.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 25c | 40.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 72c | 17.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.