TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under68c7,581$5,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.1219340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over51c5,844$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007834.6%27 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Over72c5,455$3,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,927.82714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under42c4,215$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.872,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c3,791$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.065,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c2,700$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.652,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under28c2,397$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.132,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over7c1,850$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.321,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under16c1,817$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.2712639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over57c1,491$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over32c1,035$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.489245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37610823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under68c674.96$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.241,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over10c584.26$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.611,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over51c509.99$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.396642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8715119.2%29 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over31c499.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.56735.8%24 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under77c491.56$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under71c429.86$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.822360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1286341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under31c369$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.729441.5%39 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed Under68c294.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.22771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick77cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.553946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Over36c248.23$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over69c241.15$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.646950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under48c240.23$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.14369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over11c235.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.841,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over35c234.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.121652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Over11c208.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9260%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over51c189.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdef1…e893backed Under24c168.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.09580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+171.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under27c162.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4626136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over23c137.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.471631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under58c130.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.42853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under77c124.39$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.613336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under50c123.65$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.182748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over53c116.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under77c106.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.414852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over46c104.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518341%34 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x395c…ad6fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab7d…d04bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over76c96.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.52540%10 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over50c86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435844.8%26 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e5…20f4backed Over79c85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over33c72.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9519751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Over50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over70c61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.75156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under66c59.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3236352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under65c57.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2437153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0240…78f2backed Under27c56.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+265.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over32c51.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5315352.9%81 W · 72 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021367.6%144 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over38c47.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over78c44.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9877056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over70c44.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.899339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd176…78bbbacked Over70c42.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under67c41.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6214744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over49c40.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffa3…08f0backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under36c38.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.773070%21 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+78.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over32c36.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7633452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over44c36.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under64c30.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.894934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over50c28.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2656445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under75c25.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.474566.7%30 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc550…e090backed Under51c25.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over63c23.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over67c23.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5310454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over47c23.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under69c21.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.744346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb36c…da2fbacked Under52c20.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.691060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under79c17.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.724548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Under69c14.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.391675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc54…26edbacked Under69c14.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over73c13.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102931%9 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.