TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yunnan Yukun FCof Shanghai Haigang FC, Yunnan Yukun FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,396 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x77bc…b91bbacked Shanghai Haigang FC3c494.91$14 inLost-$13.951,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Shanghai Haigang FC26c250.84$66 inLost-$65.632,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Shanghai Haigang FC17c209.79$35 inLost-$35.112,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yunnan Yukun FC80c125.24$100 inWon+$25.246765.7%44 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yunnan Yukun FC79c120.54$95 inWon+$25.311,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1538…8676backed Yunnan Yukun FC47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Shanghai Haigang FC20c106.01$21 inLost-$21.21,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab1…ca7abacked Yunnan Yukun FC45c97.68$44 inWon+$53.721145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Shanghai Haigang FC53c63.83$34 inLost-$33.8389245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yunnan Yukun FC47c63.83$30 inWon+$33.8319268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44eb…48c6backed Yunnan Yukun FC79c20.21$16 inWon+$4.245060%30 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.