Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d351fee02e9e4c7c98587a8d0a4b50ac5aad971c60f00a478d0a9c64f80e6dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d98…261ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,148$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 55c | 693.35$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.43 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 14c | 654.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 73c | 625.11$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 41c | 391.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.34 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 8c | 379.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.02 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 21c | 304.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 21c | 296.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 272.73$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 9c | 262.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 37c | 249.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 42c | 199.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked Yes | 42c | 195.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 22c | 193.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 186.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 20c | 178.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 47c | 156.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 25c | 156.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 63c | 152.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 144.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 26c | 142.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 24c | 132.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 11c | 120$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…e6ddbacked No | 74c | 106$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 28c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 103.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 80c | 100.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…cdf1backed Yes | 77c | 99.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 24c | 96.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 32c | 94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 43c | 92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 87.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 46c | 84.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 12c | 84.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed No | 41c | 81.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 39c | 77.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 24c | 75.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 59c | 71.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 44c | 70.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 75c | 69.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 77c | 65.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 73c | 64.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 62.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed No | 42c | 60.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…2d49backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8a…64f7backed Yes | 24c | 58.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 58.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 74c | 52.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 25c | 51.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 35c | 46.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 61c | 45.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 40c | 44.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 28c | 43.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 31c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 74c | 40.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 39.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 62c | 39.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 75c | 35.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 63c | 33.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…3289backed Yes | 33c | 32.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 44c | 30.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…196bbacked No | 62c | 30.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 496 | 75.4%374 W · 122 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 40c | 26.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 44c | 24.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…42fcbacked No | 80c | 24.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 63 | 84.1%53 W · 10 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 75c | 23.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 77c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 77c | 19.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf89…326dbacked No | 61c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…dd79backed No | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.