TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,909 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes70c6,570$4,584 inWon+$1,986.3111712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No42c2,616$1,108 inLost-$1,107.714043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No3c926.72$29 inLost-$28.665565.5%36 W · 19 L+10.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+123.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed No11c789.7$88 inLost-$87.872369.6%16 W · 7 L+12.7wins+0.55per pick14cpaid+387.1%equal weight80+0.27 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No51c642.34$328 inLost-$328.4426839.9%107 W · 161 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No36c595.66$215 inLost-$215.038756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No48c448.48$213 inLost-$213.4918446.2%85 W · 99 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No47c190.68$90 inLost-$90.276958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes59c170.85$100 inWon+$70.855324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No59c158.22$94 inLost-$93.725554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No30c119.87$36 inLost-$35.734932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfa…27b2backed No74c99.12$74 inLost-$73.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x096e…b1fbbacked Yes15c98$15 inWon+$83250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+226.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes54c86.71$47 inWon+$39.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No59c59$35 inLost-$34.671533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Yes43c46.48$20 inWon+$26.7988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No45c45.3$20 inLost-$20.382352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No78c40$31 inLost-$31.28429.8%25 W · 59 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed No51c40$20 inLost-$20.43773%27 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9995…8f7cbacked Yes54c36.2$20 inWon+$16.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked No49c27.42$14 inLost-$13.512466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No58c22.65$13 inLost-$13.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa5…7621backed No49c20.84$10 inLost-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No57c20$11 inLost-$11.4325449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc5…c64dbacked No70c18$13 inLost-$12.610268.6%70 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.