TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,010 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes74c11,576$8,583 inLost-$8,583.1111712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No59c4,472$2,658 inWon+$1,814.771457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No31c3,868$1,215 inWon+$2,653.0514043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No23c2,515$580 inWon+$1,934.835565.5%36 W · 19 L+10.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+123.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes16c1,700$266 inLost-$2666214.5%9 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef83…efa7backed Yes28c903.11$254 inLost-$253.6540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed No8c817.84$69 inWon+$748.822369.6%16 W · 7 L+12.7wins+0.55per pick14cpaid+387.1%equal weight80+0.27 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No68c707.54$483 inWon+$224.8326839.9%107 W · 161 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked No64c513.09$328 inWon+$184.794047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+296.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed No78c512.59$400 inWon+$112.91546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No66c328.19$218 inWon+$110.418446.2%85 W · 99 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes40c298$119 inLost-$119.210123.8%24 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a66…a177backed Yes7c269.72$18 inLost-$18.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No41c260$106 inWon+$154.1325449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes25c243.07$61 inLost-$61.25850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No69c200$137 inWon+$635554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes26c110.77$29 inLost-$294932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No54c103.27$56 inWon+$47.518756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x515b…2d91backed Yes64c90.96$58 inLost-$57.931533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes31c50$16 inLost-$15.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No66c29.26$19 inWon+$9.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes50c27.69$14 inLost-$13.852352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976f…8a71backed Yes52c24.97$13 inLost-$12.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No58c23.62$14 inWon+$9.976958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd783…69f2backed Yes59c20.34$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed No50c20$10 inWon+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+204.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.