TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,399 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes68c1,314$898 inLost-$898.111712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No3c441.35$12 inWon+$429.35565.5%36 W · 19 L+10.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+123.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x55d5…7b83backed Yes33c308$102 inLost-$101.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked No68c260$177 inWon+$83.42466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No76c248.12$190 inWon+$58.4422546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed No16c187.5$30 inWon+$157.52369.6%16 W · 7 L+12.7wins+0.55per pick14cpaid+387.1%equal weight80+0.27 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No59c175.08$104 inWon+$71.4825449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No66c101.39$67 inWon+$34.6618446.2%85 W · 99 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No70c47.78$34 inWon+$14.2326839.9%107 W · 161 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc5…c64dbacked No65c40$26 inWon+$1410268.6%70 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4662…1d65backed No69c35.62$24 inWon+$11.121181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.