Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbfe0777aa342e4b80f11decc83bff0ae90a751d46cfb772fe0e515fd947adaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 63c | 381.32$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 221$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 48c | 198.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 31c | 171.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 38c | 166.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 37c | 154.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 40c | 147.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e5…649cbacked Yes | 74c | 132.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 128.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…26a9backed No | 64c | 128.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 27c | 117.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 53c | 109.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…b52cbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 73c | 80.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 52c | 71.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…48e6backed Yes | 56c | 70.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 55c | 58.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 37c | 52.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 56c | 51.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked No | 49c | 46.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 55c | 40.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 43c | 35.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…aadbbacked Yes | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 56c | 32.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed No | 60c | 26.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 55c | 25.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…f385backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…61e3backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…e8f7backed No | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…96d5backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 56c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Czechia be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.