Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs So:sweet (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f75e3fdf2301e4b3aec50fe3a95a5d47520c3ae4835a06b9cfa4a009f93a147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof T1 Academy, So:sweet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5006…48cabacked So:sweet | 61c | 787.18$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.18 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed T1 Academy | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed T1 Academy | 43c | 268.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked T1 Academy | 42c | 264.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed T1 Academy | 36c | 244.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked So:sweet | 64c | 244.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed T1 Academy | 39c | 187.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed T1 Academy | 43c | 70.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed So:sweet | 61c | 66.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed So:sweet | 61c | 36.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked T1 Academy | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed So:sweet | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs So:sweet (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: T1 Academy vs So:sweet (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular SeasonT1 Academy won
- Valorant: T1 Academy vs So:sweet - Map 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.