Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to score first vs. Algeria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecee42e2b3e62720b42f3a2cdcede18c0029722c2602bed245886e14035c3d78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 69c | 5,723$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.71 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 31c | 3,740$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.05 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 32c | 1,936$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.76 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 29c | 1,739$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.97 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 1,623$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 32c | 1,283$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.88 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 35c | 1,203$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.84 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 69c | 963.3$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 69c | 933.63$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 31c | 841.92$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 56c | 777.85$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.05 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 32c | 644$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.22 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 34c | 600$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 69c | 488.3$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 32c | 413.37$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 391.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 69c | 333.46$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 35c | 326.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb285…68d3backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 101 | 69.3%70 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 40c | 268$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 28c | 263.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 72c | 250.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 31c | 216.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 76c | 197.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5859…a9b0backed Yes | 72c | 188.89$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 31c | 184.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 71c | 183.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 181.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 165.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 16c | 147.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…dad2backed Yes | 70c | 145.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 71c | 141.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 139.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf708…7609backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 68c | 133.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 23c | 101.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 26c | 83.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…4647backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…d62fbacked Yes | 68c | 72.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 25c | 71.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…0983backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…a182backed No | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 49c | 66.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…aa14backed Yes | 72c | 66.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 24c | 61.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 29c | 56.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801a…589abacked Yes | 68c | 48.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 52c | 46.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b1…460fbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…f80ebacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…2680backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…92ffbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…7efabacked No | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…b664backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…3c4cbacked Yes | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 34.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…fbf5backed Yes | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed No | 53c | 33.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…5a19backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb87c…f91ebacked Yes | 73c | 27.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…3664backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…7816backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f52…b086backed Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea46…1f28backed Yes | 73c | 24.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…1fa6backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…ac72backed Yes | 68c | 21.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…601abacked Yes | 72c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…1e83backed Yes | 71c | 21.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…b33dbacked Yes | 72c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Yes | 69c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 285 | 45.6%130 W · 155 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to score first vs. Algeria?this page
- Algeria to score first vs. Argentina?No won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.