Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria to score first vs. Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c5029522a8fdbcd94c13a85834d1cf16f6d100ab170d15f628f1b6aa9ae248
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd331…fc32backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 2,964$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.89 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 1,939$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.1 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 76c | 1,850$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.01 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 1,768$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 76c | 1,506$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.04 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebeb…47b3backed Yes | 23c | 1,315$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…48abbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 78c | 999.97$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 50c | 943.98$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.48 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 77c | 877.33$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.94 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 23c | 777.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.77 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 62c | 636.7$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…285bbacked Yes | 32c | 627.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 62c | 607.67$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 54c | 589.23$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.61 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 22c | 551.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…972fbacked Yes | 4c | 510.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Yes | 27c | 462.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…1b8dbacked Yes | 49c | 405.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Yes | 26c | 378.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 77c | 359.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 358.52$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…7e74backed Yes | 15c | 330$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 56c | 293.55$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 16c | 264.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 242.92$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed Yes | 23c | 227.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 123 | 20.3%25 W · 98 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 40c | 218.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.59 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…ebb6backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 23c | 217.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a8…e0f7backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ca…ebd1backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 38c | 166.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 156.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 8c | 152.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed No | 20c | 116.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 234 | 43.6%102 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…9bc1backed Yes | 29c | 109.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 108.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ff…0849backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…5bd0backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…089ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa4…1c0abacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 76c | 79.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…1c81backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 56.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02b…7b98backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…3990backed Yes | 23c | 53.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…90aabacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 43c | 45.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…e595backed No | 76c | 38.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed No | 35c | 33.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 66c | 30.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 78c | 27.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…315cbacked Yes | 66c | 23.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 19.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria to score first vs. Argentina?this page
- Argentina to score first vs. Algeria?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.