South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba56ba52a8374dfebefb1519f4854273d880290b39acf934332dc3e30a357325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 65c | 841.89$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.89 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 584.8$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.23 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 42c | 499.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 463.73$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.17 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 23c | 353.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.61 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 58c | 342.19$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 285.68$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 278.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 61c | 259.16$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 254.51$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 16c | 243.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 75c | 231.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.51 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 73c | 202.68$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Under | 10c | 194.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 185.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 43c | 146.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 43c | 146.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 74c | 121.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 120.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 67c | 117.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Under | 11c | 107.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 43c | 98.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 37c | 96.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 74c | 86.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 38c | 78.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 77.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 38c | 75.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…78efbacked Over | 27c | 74.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 22c | 63.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 58.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 57.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed Over | 43c | 51.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 21c | 49.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 58c | 38.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 59c | 37.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Over | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 47c | 31.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 42c | 30.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Under | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 27.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190b…85aebacked Under | 61c | 22.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 71c | 17.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 58c | 17.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 76c | 16.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)CA Sarmiento won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.