Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria vs. Austria: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bdb6108e76c9aad9c4ddda8cc83d0b494635f3aaf8acaaf9d456e37c5c387f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 1,537$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.29 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,113$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.13 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 713.35$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.35 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed Yes | 48c | 433.33$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Yes | 49c | 430.63$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 47c | 398.61$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 79c | 325$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 26c | 292.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 263.35$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.27 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 53c | 144.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…2a54backed Yes | 46c | 130.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed No | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffd…d98bbacked No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 55c | 92.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 82.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Yes | 26c | 54.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 67c | 42.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed No | 53c | 35.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 62c | 25.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria vs. Austria: Second half draw?this page
- Algeria to win the second half?No won
- Austria to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.