Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68e25a9378e063acef25aede36d5c98daeb5e21bbbd9049c8c57092a984c7f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 33c | 1,134$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.88 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 12c | 799$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Yes | 16c | 699$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 23c | 645.48$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.02 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 15c | 283.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 11c | 134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 77c | 96.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 76c | 81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 75c | 77.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…982ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 73c | 74.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 57.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 75c | 42.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 77c | 27.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 74c | 27.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…5f93backed Yes | 77c | 26.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…baaabacked Yes | 77c | 26.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 17.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria to win the second half?this page
- Algeria vs. Austria: Second half draw?Yes won
- Austria to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.