Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc54ac82fee74c115a74570717ea0847879aef5831e3ca7ceb9badc6b8975cf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6155…808ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,995$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 79c | 2,506$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.83 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,072$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 1,511$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.46 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 1,059$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.3 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 950.64$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.53 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 889.92$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed Yes | 2c | 826.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 631.14$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…1e03backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…4612backed Yes | 23c | 499.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 456.11$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Yes | 3c | 437.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 30c | 327.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 308$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 69c | 291.42$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 263$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 69c | 176.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 26c | 173.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 100.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 11c | 99.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 45c | 98.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 51c | 91.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 68c | 82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 70c | 76.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes | 33c | 61.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 56.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 63c | 55.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 60c | 53.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 31c | 48.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 42c | 45.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 67c | 35.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Yes | 36c | 34.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 69c | 26.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 77c | 25.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 68c | 21.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd21…cbdcbacked Yes | 79c | 16.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.