Asian League · resolved market
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079825e96d0dc7bdf12e81142462e9b87bf54727fd1ae5e30d95b74eaec9b4e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 47c | 4,949$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,234$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 55c | 1,879$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.93 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 49c | 1,653$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 51c | 1,633$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.44 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e3…23bfbacked Over | 3c | 1,535$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 48c | 1,224$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.23 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 37c | 1,074$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.43 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…687abacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 52c | 820.79$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.03 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 53c | 760.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Over | 46c | 647.17$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 19c | 617.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 19c | 493.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Over | 59c | 493$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 48c | 420.93$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 46c | 323.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.77 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Over | 5c | 280$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Over | 5c | 280$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 266.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 55c | 254.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 45c | 239.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 48c | 203$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 55c | 183.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 48c | 174.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 59c | 170.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 53c | 139.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 53c | 139.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 53c | 139.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 137.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 53c | 137.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 137.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 53c | 137.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 53c | 137.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 53c | 137.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 48c | 134.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…1b63backed Over | 75c | 103.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 72c | 103$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 28c | 103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 51c | 92.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 65c | 74.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 60.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…4be6backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 61c | 42.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…a686backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…2b45backed Over | 75c | 40.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…9abebacked Under | 36c | 38.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Over | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +187.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 64c | 31.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 54c | 27.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 55c | 26.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 53c | 26.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464d…d99bbacked Over | 68c | 21.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 52c | 19.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5this page
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-2.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
- Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.