Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North ACE Masters Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65d8712edfec225c38609898147db8f44d1d34fca4e0447adda0039d6023e7d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Contraof Contra, LAZER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Contra | 74c | 6,871$5,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.78 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed LAZER | 24c | 2,855$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.26 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked LAZER | 25c | 2,345$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.86 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LAZER | 29c | 2,079$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.27 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed LAZER | 25c | 1,604$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed LAZER | 30c | 1,182$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Contra | 69c | 593.96$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LAZER | 7c | 392.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Contra | 70c | 300.49$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed LAZER | 17c | 295.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Contra | 75c | 262.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LAZER | 13c | 174.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Contra | 70c | 172.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Contra | 70c | 171.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Contra | 79c | 164.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked LAZER | 10c | 145.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked LAZER | 22c | 128.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Contra | 78c | 126.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…bd8dbacked LAZER | 16c | 123.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Contra | 77c | 122.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked LAZER | 23c | 113.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Contra | 77c | 107$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed LAZER | 25c | 104.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Contra | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed LAZER | 25c | 99.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Contra | 73c | 96.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Contra | 72c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked LAZER | 23c | 94.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed LAZER | 29c | 94.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Contra | 78c | 88.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed LAZER | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked LAZER | 32c | 88.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Contra | 77c | 84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Contra | 71c | 74.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked LAZER | 23c | 73.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Contra | 70c | 72.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Contra | 70c | 71.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Contra | 70c | 66.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Contra | 23c | 60.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +330%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed LAZER | 24c | 59.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed LAZER | 19c | 57.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Contra | 70c | 54.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…8870backed LAZER | 28c | 52.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Contra | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed LAZER | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed LAZER | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Contra | 78c | 49.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Contra | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Contra | 70c | 39.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Contra | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LAZER | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Contra | 75c | 35.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Contra | 74c | 34.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Contra | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Contra | 79c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Contra | 77c | 19.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…8923backed Contra | 70c | 16.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed Contra | 79c | 16.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.