Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b0527a5e6e6d0dce6424eab9d1b3f641487a1a6855e068da58891a115c93663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 62c | 3,660$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.45 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 38c | 2,626$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.89 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 22c | 1,463$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.06 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 1,441$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.77 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,363$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.38 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,092$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.21 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 7c | 858$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed No | 7c | 858$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed No | 7c | 715$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 65c | 526$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.9 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 38c | 520$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed No | 9c | 439.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 21c | 260$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 26c | 242.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 64c | 217.33$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.09 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked No | 9c | 208.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 38c | 185.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 65c | 178.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 15c | 138.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 38c | 105.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Yes | 14c | 100.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…9a50backed No | 38c | 97.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 35c | 72.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 69.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 34c | 60.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 59.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…a444backed Yes | 75c | 49.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44c…48a4backed No | 45c | 40.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 65c | 35.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 23.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland to win the second half?this page
- Canada to win the second half?No won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.