TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$220,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b71…afd3backed Yes77c86,878$66,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,567.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c38,307$16,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,842.726,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No24c25,875$6,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,6653050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No24c15,466$3,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,712.476650%33 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No23c10,885$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,373.542,60647.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes70c8,500$5,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,914.9920746.4%96 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes76c3,852$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.5135652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No23c3,700$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8491,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed Yes70c3,677$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.69757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No29c2,790$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.876043.3%26 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52517042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No29c1,886$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.334163.4%26 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Yes71c1,870$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.643557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No24c1,383$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.0211450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No30c1,321$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.521,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes10c1,295$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.762,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No25c1,277$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.782755.6%15 W · 12 L+7.0wins+0.26per pick30cpaid+111.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No26c1,180$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.881,01951.6%526 W · 493 L+4.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c1,152$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.351,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c1,150$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11579236.1%286 W · 506 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed Yes73c1,061$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.862138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No50c1,015$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.171,42444.3%631 W · 793 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes76c986.84$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaec…f856backed Yes71c928.41$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.531921.1%4 W · 15 L-6.1wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-70%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c850.78$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.334,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No36c792.44$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.832,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes75c758.28$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.611,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No24c700$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53239948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked No28c632.59$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.47977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.42per pick36cpaid+117.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes56c615.13$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.9655744.7%249 W · 308 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes72c611.11$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44020254.5%110 W · 92 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes71c547.87$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes13c476.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6223832.4%77 W · 161 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7812139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes72c418.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes76c391$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.018144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes21c382$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.983215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes68c331.97$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.8431747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes32c315.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22811443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No26c279.28$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4625348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes72c277.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003560%21 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No28c276.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.776043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355928.8%17 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.56240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes71c249.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.51,30542.4%553 W · 752 L-28.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes71c249.98$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4996843.8%424 W · 544 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No25c245.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9585152.9%450 W · 401 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes72c244.43$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17626344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No49c243.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3983063%523 W · 307 L+113.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed No24c238.38$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1712236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes71c238$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.985633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes73c226.85$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.344645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No24c219.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.341,78634.9%623 W · 1,163 L-34.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4635234.7%122 W · 230 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed No25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+83.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4833422.2%74 W · 260 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No23c176.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8123250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes73c161.4$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.376050%380 W · 380 L+20.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No25c153.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.283953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No29c151.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.545142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.533124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No27c149.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0927650.7%140 W · 136 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes78c147.44$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1159840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009541.1%39 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked No29c142.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.193243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No70c137.13$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9818963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes75c134.15$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9422335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No26c127.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No77c116.88$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8813550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes56c115.59$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2341522.2%92 W · 323 L-53.8wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-48.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No25c113$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No31c111$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5945751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No22c107$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4629259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes75c106.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.643946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No25c106.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.076333.3%21 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4216367.5%110 W · 53 L+19.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No28c98.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6918759.4%111 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06b…0e9ebacked Yes19c98.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.692035%7 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No23c96.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7139052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No28c91.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7725544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes26c89.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2242324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed No70c87.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.394744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9499…ba9ebacked Yes71c76.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Yes72c71.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.425356.6%30 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4547…ac9bbacked Yes72c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes72c69.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029050.7%147 W · 143 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes72c69.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012546.4%58 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9713746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes72c68.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes70c67.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.441,08045.2%488 W · 592 L-19.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes71c67.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8420763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bad…1d19backed No30c64.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.365100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+150.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.