Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eb94dbc531b62f5e6d2849dc3c1d7f5b5183a194a172f91150268fcd9b87496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,603 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 18c | 12,499$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.8 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 8,794$6,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.45 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 1,751$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 1,196$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 64c | 982.55$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.72 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 33c | 815.16$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.56 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 394.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 17c | 394.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 16c | 323.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…a3dabacked Yes | 26c | 304.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…5f2ebacked No | 74c | 304.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b5…b505backed No | 76c | 296.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac52…d3febacked Yes | 24c | 296.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 22c | 294.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 256.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 181.66$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 31c | 179.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 16c | 173.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 165.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 17c | 155$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…1a43backed Yes | 15c | 135.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 123.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 16c | 89.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 35c | 80.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 78.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Yes | 31c | 66.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -70%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 20c | 65.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 65.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 17c | 58.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 62c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 35c | 51.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Yes | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 73c | 48.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 28c | 37.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 30c | 34.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 26.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…ac92backed No | 80c | 24.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…0e9ebacked No | 66c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-11?Yes won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.