La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f12f2091a64c8d223cd919a926a6cd3b6767d5bc49608f7fec64965d1b507a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 0c | 138,158$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 4,412$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.27 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 73c | 4,336$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.15 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 71c | 3,229$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.74 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 1,406$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.13 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6379…c82ebacked No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…7c09backed Yes | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 3c | 1,267$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 26c | 1,218$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.72 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 34c | 1,190$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.56 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 15c | 1,076$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 70c | 776.88$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.48 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 29c | 734$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 684.16$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.06 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed No | 73c | 567.68$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 33c | 545.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 12c | 513.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 510.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 492.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 466.5$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 28c | 454.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 413$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 25c | 407$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 388.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Yes | 26c | 379.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 28c | 378.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 27c | 372.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 29c | 360.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 340.12$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 300.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…cefbbacked Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 15c | 270.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 78c | 249.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…c044backed Yes | 31c | 193.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 28c | 185.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 29c | 173.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 26c | 168.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 68c | 161.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes | 17c | 149.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 144.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 23c | 144.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 42c | 143.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 28c | 140.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…4b27backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 78c | 121.59$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Yes | 35c | 114.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 19c | 114.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 96.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 88.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 84.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30b…29e5backed No | 71c | 76.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36d…f0d1backed Yes | 30c | 67.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…0026backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 66.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 28c | 57.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…cfc2backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…957bbacked No | 70c | 57.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 74c | 52.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Yes | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 29c | 43.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 30.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…9db3backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 67c | 18.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 67c | 17.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-04-02?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.