La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2026-04-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd769b1d21169cbb15ab84f48c88bbe3bf6ddb393bb79481b88a2c3616873b82f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 0c | 60,241$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa341…5e5fbacked Yes | 17c | 7,192$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 4,615$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.17 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 17c | 1,788$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 13c | 1,041$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 17c | 726.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 726.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 18c | 668.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 20c | 648.92$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.32 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f16…e2fdbacked Yes | 11c | 602.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 500.8$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 459.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 22c | 443.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…f531backed Yes | 27c | 418.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994c…2d29backed No | 73c | 418.09$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…dd59backed Yes | 8c | 355.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…1106backed Yes | 21c | 348.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 19c | 263.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 16c | 256.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…1821backed Yes | 15c | 155.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d1…06fbbacked No | 73c | 141.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…d966backed Yes | 27c | 141.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 135.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38e…dce8backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 18c | 111.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 17c | 108.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…0d98backed Yes | 17c | 105.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…c4d6backed Yes | 11c | 105.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 16c | 103.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 18c | 98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 66c | 94.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1e6dbacked Yes | 19c | 81.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 18c | 79.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…99f9backed Yes | 22c | 74.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes | 21c | 73.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Yes | 19c | 64.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 22c | 64.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 16c | 63.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 21c | 50.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 79c | 32.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 36c | 27.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 79c | 24.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…7203backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-04-02?this page
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.