Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84453f2dc95f45d3f0bfa0d6c9147355e39c03b7375487c2920b593b29524cd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 5c | 3,433$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.31 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 2,306$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.28 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 13c | 2,147$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.54 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 65c | 2,142$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.41 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 19c | 1,446$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 25c | 1,100$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.64 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Yes | 61c | 989.54$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 5c | 767.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 14c | 710$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 12c | 676.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.31 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed No | 23c | 655$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 527.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 55c | 504.29$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.13 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…bd61backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a27…0b05backed No | 7c | 443.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 408.43$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.75 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…7f38backed Yes | 14c | 345.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 332.67$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 51c | 312.58$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.13 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 34c | 294.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 25c | 284.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 266.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 262.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.41 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 33c | 237.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…6eacbacked No | 11c | 225.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 39c | 190.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 61c | 178.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02b…1b8dbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…f208backed No | 8c | 138.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 14c | 125.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 114$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 71c | 100.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 35c | 89.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 18c | 79.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 16c | 71.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 68c | 67.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes | 74c | 63.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 63.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 32c | 45.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 69c | 45.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 40c | 39.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 38.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…b540backed No | 57c | 37.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…5b82backed No | 70c | 35.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 70c | 33.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7486…c339backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…9e92backed Yes | 61c | 25.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 70c | 19.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed No | 70c | 14.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Yes | 79c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.