Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x920b3e201f69f76d74f5bd4868a42987fd45a22f9c43a2f52eac1637af73e51b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,440 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 5,386$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 19c | 933.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 798.76$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.85 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 39c | 588$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes | 63c | 544.44$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 23c | 495.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 456.88$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 22c | 399$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 19c | 390.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 78c | 384$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 61c | 353.8$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 20c | 345.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 68c | 336.72$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 37c | 228.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 22c | 221.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 23c | 214.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…636ebacked Yes | 64c | 195$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 180.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…2e0ebacked No | 10c | 168$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 8c | 144.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed No | 22c | 88.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 36c | 88.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…013abacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 69.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 26c | 68.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 28c | 63.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 39c | 55.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…cc16backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked No | 36c | 53.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 63c | 47.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…63b0backed Yes | 65c | 46.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e9…910bbacked Yes | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 35c | 38.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes | 75c | 33.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 62c | 28.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 69c | 22.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 64c | 22.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…cdc5backed Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Kashima Antlers vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.