South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd1428890e152dd62a1a4a1f4ecd87200c9a1f8799020b0e625b53c5cebe4c42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,323 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 79c | 5,160$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.12 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 24c | 5,121$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.18 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 4,672$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,156$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.26 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 22c | 1,973$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 24c | 1,965$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.7 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 20c | 1,595$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.91 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 71c | 1,419$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.37 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 77c | 1,371$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.3 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 22c | 938.67$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.51 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 77c | 709.45$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 6c | 666.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 77c | 664.72$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 11c | 544.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 22c | 542$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 24c | 528.25$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.36 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 25c | 480$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 10c | 426.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 73c | 406.85$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 78c | 381$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 24c | 374.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 72c | 271.53$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 26c | 250$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Yes | 75c | 222.75$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 25c | 216.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 72c | 156.6$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 13c | 151.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 28c | 149.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…b960backed No | 10c | 129.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 22c | 113.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked No | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 92.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 72c | 74.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…7d5fbacked No | 26c | 60.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 78c | 60.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…c700backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 77c | 47.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 74c | 46.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 78c | 43.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Yes | 79c | 40.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…f766backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 78c | 39.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 78c | 37.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…410bbacked Yes | 73c | 34.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Yes | 73c | 34.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 75c | 31.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Yes | 79c | 29.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d3…53b6backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Yes | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Yes | 74c | 26.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 79c | 26.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…f779backed Yes | 79c | 26.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Yes | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 73c | 21.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 77c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7017…845fbacked Yes | 75c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes | 75c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…c090backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CF América vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.