Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-04-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502589cbde2682ee693fd0a4339958b00bca7006ac0b552fe57e731e5bd77f68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 3,904$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.23 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 9c | 2,884$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.56 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Yes | 8c | 1,900$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 19c | 1,602$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.64 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 78c | 999.95$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 660.17$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 11c | 543.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed No | 79c | 451.63$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 9c | 348.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 287.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 8c | 177.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 8c | 141.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 8c | 138.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 22c | 138.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 22c | 111.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…e86abacked No | 79c | 100.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 22c | 80.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 22c | 80.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 22c | 59.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 78c | 57.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…0021backed Yes | 21c | 48.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 22c | 47.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 22c | 47.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 22c | 47.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 78c | 29.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 23.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked No | 77c | 17.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 79c | 15.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 79c | 14.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-04-03?this page
- Will Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.