TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No62c11,314$6,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.081,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes50c9,917$4,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,959.41,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No30c6,722$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,705.56355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c5,988$3,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.482,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c4,981$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.621,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes53c2,168$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.881,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked No36c2,143$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.234669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c1,783$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.128,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No58c1,526$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.374676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes42c948.6$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.415046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No58c931.29$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2210155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Yes40c914.5$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes42c868.39$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.929651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No58c840.34$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9411855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No68c809.78$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.348268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed No79c742.52$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick75cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes43c711.38$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8919846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No49c671.96$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.9984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes31c633.26$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6727133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes42c612.65$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.491,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c537.62$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.83,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No35c531.79$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.664153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed No58c504.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.772254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed No58c435$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.73339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes41c408.47$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4751749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No73c360.17$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.599763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed No57c349.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.52458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes28c329.36$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.214032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes37c312.35$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.211,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes26c299.03$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6814824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No57c243$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4921349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes43c239$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.171,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes39c229.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5385220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No58c209.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.961,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No58c209.37$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.941,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes22c206.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes41c195.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3112545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes42c168.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.881,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No57c149.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked No34c141.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.291520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No72c133.26$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.061478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9454…340bbacked No61c129.59$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked No58c128.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.044257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes31c124.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No58c108.37$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.522,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked No34c107.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.275949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Yes69c100.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0451654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7549…9745backed Yes45c92.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.651030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed No58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.299447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes24c79.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.116740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Yes68c78.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.712454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes49c76.44$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.418247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes43c67.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9720142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes42c66.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.041,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eab…8859backed Yes48c60.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.112867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked No35c54.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6918145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a91…c1f2backed No78c53.57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c52.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.492,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No51c50.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6644959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked No37c48.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.314542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes31c47.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.765062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x428c…c64fbacked Yes40c44.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No40c43.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes43c42.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1716453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed No36c41.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.753324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21af…6ba0backed Yes66c41.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c41.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9265058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No73c39.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7510767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No65c39.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6621765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No51c38.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1811856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No51c38.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1847756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No51c38.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1841256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No51c38.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1819056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed No30c38.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed No57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes36c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2418338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes43c33.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4911849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No47c32.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0928158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.94163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Yes66c29.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.594566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7650…5099backed Yes71c29.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No62c28.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.054465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No62c28.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0518154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No69c27.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6724654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes71c27.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.664351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No58c27.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5329053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…0dc3backed No72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.651181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ab…93c6backed No57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.022157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes65c24.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.179457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed No57c24.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No59c23.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4712051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc9b…2866backed No75c22.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes57c22.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.698265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes66c20.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2311863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91bb…ae27backed Yes71c19.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed No58c19.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.054045%18 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf504…560bbacked Yes71c18.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.