Fifa International · resolved market
Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860c0454c553dc6593440dae08f7ad162b705b144df6e3241045b5e376637820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 2,380$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.53 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,352$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.22 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,263$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.9 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 1,008$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.57 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 635.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 600.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 78c | 584$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…592dbacked Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 12c | 362.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae37…5a8fbacked Yes | 28c | 304.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…f134backed No | 72c | 304.61$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 289.9$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 236.82$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 190.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 22c | 182.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 179.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 173.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 154.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe3be…43fabacked Yes | 25c | 152.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 138.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 78c | 130.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 77c | 128.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Yes | 22c | 100.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 22c | 92.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 20c | 73.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 20c | 72.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Yes | 21c | 72.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…7ffdbacked No | 80c | 70.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Yes | 28c | 70.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 70c | 62.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…9955backed Yes | 24c | 49.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…dea5backed Yes | 22c | 48.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 30c | 48.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…5bb7backed No | 78c | 40.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 72c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 70c | 31.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 71c | 23.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked No | 72c | 16.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Morocco vs. Paraguay end in a draw?No won
- Will Morocco win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.