Fifa International · resolved market
Will Morocco vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb388b78c31e1ab20825bd842f0a69f2ff598a6d5c281ecfc7ebc1f61a5157cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 20c | 3,873$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.49 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 2,263$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.83 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 10c | 1,798$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,705$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.08 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,335$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.81 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,065$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.37 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 41c | 702.44$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 628.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.77 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 29c | 346.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 31c | 340.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 25c | 313.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 79c | 308.49$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 304.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 230$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 34c | 194.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 192.59$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 32c | 184.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 76c | 162.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 155.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 80c | 155.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 118.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 118.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 115.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 101.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 101.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 33c | 70.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 69.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 66c | 63.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 50.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 66c | 48.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 71c | 48.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 47.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 46.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 72c | 33.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 34c | 31.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 71c | 24.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…9592backed No | 71c | 23.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa561…cf19backed No | 71c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 61c | 21.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Morocco vs. Paraguay end in a draw?this page
- Will Morocco win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.