Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d0639b8760de393cffef637033327d673f869f769b9ce217977bbb19b73780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Alex Michelsen, Jannik Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $527,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,708 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 42,367$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.52 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…f6bebacked Alex Michelsen | 5c | 32,534$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.26 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Alex Michelsen | 9c | 30,935$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.1 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 23,420$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.8 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Alex Michelsen | 7c | 18,879$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.95 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 17,372$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.28 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 16,382$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.12 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…8f14backed Alex Michelsen | 4c | 13,299$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Alex Michelsen | 5c | 12,476$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.74 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Alex Michelsen | 5c | 11,444$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.2 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 10,409$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.27 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Alex Michelsen | 6c | 10,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Alex Michelsen | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 10,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Alex Michelsen | 5c | 9,966$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.81 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Alex Michelsen | 17c | 9,412$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…8932backed Alex Michelsen | 8c | 8,758$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Alex Michelsen | 3c | 8,438$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Alex Michelsen | 4c | 6,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…4015backed Alex Michelsen | 11c | 5,646$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Alex Michelsen | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Alex Michelsen | 7c | 4,743$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.42 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Alex Michelsen | 6c | 4,555$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.91 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Alex Michelsen | 5c | 3,700$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 3,008$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Alex Michelsen | 12c | 3,000$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 2,850$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Alex Michelsen | 3c | 2,753$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Alex Michelsen | 6c | 2,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 2,584$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 2,420$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.96 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Alex Michelsen | 4c | 2,265$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Alex Michelsen | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Alex Michelsen | 6c | 1,755$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Alex Michelsen | 6c | 1,725$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Alex Michelsen | 16c | 1,722$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.43 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Alex Michelsen | 5c | 1,660$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Alex Michelsen | 6c | 1,551$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Alex Michelsen | 4c | 1,501$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Alex Michelsen | 11c | 1,498$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.26 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Alex Michelsen | 6c | 1,433$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Alex Michelsen | 9c | 1,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 1,369$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Alex Michelsen | 4c | 1,316$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Alex Michelsen | 10c | 1,303$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 1,201$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Alex Michelsen | 9c | 1,133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Alex Michelsen | 4c | 1,034$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Alex Michelsen | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Alex Michelsen | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…a96bbacked Alex Michelsen | 12c | 933.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Alex Michelsen | 9c | 900$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Alex Michelsen | 10c | 895.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Alex Michelsen | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Alex Michelsen | 6c | 812$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…cf06backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 708.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Alex Michelsen | 6c | 700$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Alex Michelsen | 3c | 675.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…e427backed Alex Michelsen | 6c | 650$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Alex Michelsen | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…00bebacked Alex Michelsen | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Alex Michelsen | 6c | 599.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 599.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Alex Michelsen | 4c | 543.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Alex Michelsen | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Alex Michelsen | 20c | 499.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Alex Michelsen | 14c | 491$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 460$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Alex Michelsen | 4c | 444.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Alex Michelsen | 16c | 411.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Alex Michelsen | 6c | 402.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Alex Michelsen | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd126…b4a7backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Alex Michelsen | 4c | 397.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 390.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alex Michelsen | 11c | 375$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Alex Michelsen | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Alex Michelsen | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Alex Michelsen | 9c | 338.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Alex Michelsen | 11c | 310$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 307.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Alex Michelsen | 7c | 305.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Alex Michelsen | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…7275backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 288.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…6c4ebacked Alex Michelsen | 7c | 286.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Alex Michelsen | 11c | 285.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Alex Michelsen | 17c | 275.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Alex Michelsen | 9c | 268.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 263.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Alex Michelsen | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Alex Michelsen | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 243$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 270 | 40%108 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 237.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…d7a8backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 237.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jannik Sinnerthis page
- Alex Michelsen vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Michelsen vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Michelsen vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Michelsen vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Michelsen vs SinnerSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.