TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,837 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8790…010bbacked No38c15,000$5,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,728.45040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No36c11,794$4,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,204.2737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c11,676$6,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.981,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No35c7,393$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.5871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes62c7,210$4,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.3248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes80c3,318$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No71c3,122$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.331729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c1,974$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.8638056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c1,531$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.841,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes29c1,289$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.192433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes29c1,035$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.9511070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked No71c930.99$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes58c882.47$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No35c862.09$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.634837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No31c811.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes65c779.69$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c771$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4124044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes77c720.78$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.781154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No71c690$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed No30c649.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes73c647.03$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2835650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked No43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c449.1$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.1987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No47c423.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes58c401.72$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.721450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes64c354$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.042035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2d…8668backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c301.46$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes67c288.54$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c267.72$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0329949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No34c237.34$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No35c233.54$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.691338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No32c221.71$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.318434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442528%7 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…e882backed No26c199.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x052e…7926backed Yes56c184.81$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.40per pick52cpaid+85.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.412864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes57c163.4$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3918155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c144.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9435157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No72c122.69$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.346446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No26c119.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2816224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes29c113$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c102.07$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No42c100.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4224051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed No50c96.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No13c93.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9245233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8abb…a7d5backed No71c91.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No40c89.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.992227.3%6 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No39c89.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4115951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9d7…5946backed Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753070%21 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5d3…2432backed Yes29c81.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6592…b6d7backed Yes77c81.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes61c80.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3617251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c71.69$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6223342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+74.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No24c69.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4617817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed No49c69.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.861376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No72c65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4818245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Yes65c64.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.691776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes72c64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.714257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No37c63.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6813246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes63c60.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.547766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No38c52.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.845832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xecd8…ac23backed Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No72c49.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7410855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No72c49.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7420454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No48c49.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6235037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Yes64c48.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes80c48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed No42c47.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x093b…bcc6backed Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes29c44.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.834734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes74c40.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes51c40.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.651729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Yes56c40.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.681346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.85747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf692…0477backed No71c35.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Yes63c34.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.951283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc323…a9cabacked No72c34.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked No43c33.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.417044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…381bbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes59c31.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.896368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No37c28.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.535050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed No36c28.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+42.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes42c26.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3522854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No41c25.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5826040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0630…9368backed Yes59c24.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f2c…14abbacked Yes74c21.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes61c20.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes64c20.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.