CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x562d5844a9d3de9836817ccaf9d0fca35fa55b845fe4bdd13ad658e70740ffc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked los kogutos | 40c | 3,673$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.84 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 2,748$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.57 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked los kogutos | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 1,430$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed los kogutos | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked los kogutos | 46c | 981.59$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.42 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed los kogutos | 44c | 695.48$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked los kogutos | 43c | 603.45$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.62 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked MOUZ NXT | 59c | 586.54$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.41 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 584.72$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.36 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 566.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed los kogutos | 40c | 454.81$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2922…30f1backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 397.86$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed los kogutos | 41c | 341.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 279.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 257.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 241.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed los kogutos | 44c | 218.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 207.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked los kogutos | 27c | 182.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 179.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 173.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed MOUZ NXT | 59c | 168.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…df4cbacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked MOUZ NXT | 64c | 164.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed MOUZ NXT | 69c | 155.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed los kogutos | 44c | 142.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 139.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 131.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed los kogutos | 37c | 128$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed los kogutos | 50c | 126.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 126.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed los kogutos | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 115.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed los kogutos | 33c | 113.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked los kogutos | 44c | 110.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 106.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 103.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 101.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked los kogutos | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 99.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…31aabacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked los kogutos | 22c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed los kogutos | 45c | 66.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MOUZ NXT | 67c | 63.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked los kogutos | 41c | 62.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 61.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed los kogutos | 39c | 60.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 55.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…2430backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 47.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked los kogutos | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked los kogutos | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed los kogutos | 37c | 40.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…1b63backed MOUZ NXT | 59c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed los kogutos | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69e…e918backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 35.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…360bbacked MOUZ NXT | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 31.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed los kogutos | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…97bcbacked los kogutos | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed los kogutos | 41c | 25.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked los kogutos | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…fe2ebacked MOUZ NXT | 79c | 24.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…692dbacked MOUZ NXT | 64c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs los kogutos - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs los kogutos - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.