Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Tondela vs. Rio Ave FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cc8a5a7c9b73750c5126b9e02067d047f1363fabd65bb0f0a872956c50bddf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,490 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,492$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 24c | 1,249$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 307.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 172.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 127.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 50c | 106.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 46c | 74.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 21c | 66.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 35c | 48.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 35c | 43.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 42.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 51c | 29.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 49c | 29.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 78c | 29.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 53c | 28.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…d008backed No | 49c | 28.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf048…2c05backed Yes | 53c | 27.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…1d98backed Yes | 53c | 26.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…10eebacked No | 49c | 25.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tondela vs. Rio Ave FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Tondela vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Tondela (-1.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: CD Tondela (-2.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)CD Tondela won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.