Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc4bce8251c5efb01aca6398a5567870aeb0087320771f268742f1219c805f37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,858 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 12,822$7,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.48 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 6,908$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.17 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 3,320$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.59 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 3,267$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.76 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 28c | 1,780$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 1,183$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.15 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 26c | 983$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 958.33$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.58 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 26c | 934.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.69 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 26c | 577.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 524.52$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.35 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 519$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes | 79c | 518.17$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…2ccebacked Yes | 74c | 489.64$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 467.38$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 405.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Yes | 53c | 337.64$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 53c | 334.75$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.85 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 28c | 321.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 23c | 319.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.73 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 30c | 290.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 74c | 270.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 70c | 250.96$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 213.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 178.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 28c | 161$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 62c | 155.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…764cbacked Yes | 64c | 151.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 50c | 143.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 71c | 139.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 120.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 27c | 119.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 72c | 109$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 26c | 108.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 19c | 91.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 91.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 65c | 83.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 77c | 80.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 27c | 74.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 71.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 29c | 67.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 65.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…2d4bbacked Yes | 68c | 61.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…711abacked Yes | 34c | 60.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Yes | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 72c | 54.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 22c | 50.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 66c | 49.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 72c | 44.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 58c | 42.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 28c | 41.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 26c | 41.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…319cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 28.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed No | 71c | 24.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 17.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?Yes won
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-03-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.