La Liga · resolved market
SD Huesca vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f95215a7d56466e72f214dfccd78b0ecfb2ce90230851459e23ab5464c9eae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,083 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,122$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.59 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes | 51c | 963.52$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 904.95$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.53 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 49c | 509.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 489.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 328.08$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 52c | 255.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 51c | 158$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 52c | 87.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 54.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 54c | 37.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…17d8backed No | 50c | 32.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…86f2backed Yes | 51c | 29.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1b…efbebacked Yes | 51c | 27.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5301…a4d7backed No | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Huesca vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SD Huesca vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5Over won
- SD Huesca vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5Over won
- SD Huesca vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5Over won
- SD Huesca vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SD Huesca (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: SD Huesca (-2.5)UD Almería won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.