CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663d309d4f3cc058db081bad76de89a9e8568747374993c84903fddc90445c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof kONO.ECF, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TDK | 69c | 2,405$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.69 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed kONO.ECF | 15c | 2,179$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed TDK | 54c | 675.65$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.05 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed TDK | 73c | 630.63$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed kONO.ECF | 40c | 611.9$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked kONO.ECF | 18c | 424$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed TDK | 15c | 392.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.17 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed TDK | 52c | 381.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.42 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed kONO.ECF | 56c | 305.27$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed kONO.ECF | 74c | 271.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed kONO.ECF | 61c | 193.07$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 45c | 171$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed kONO.ECF | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed TDK | 46c | 147.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…7e3fbacked kONO.ECF | 42c | 140.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked kONO.ECF | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed TDK | 25c | 123$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 49c | 113.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…fecdbacked kONO.ECF | 12c | 111.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed TDK | 29c | 110.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed kONO.ECF | 18c | 101.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed kONO.ECF | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…2211backed TDK | 74c | 92.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked kONO.ECF | 27c | 90.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…81cabacked TDK | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed kONO.ECF | 46c | 75.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed kONO.ECF | 45c | 66.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed TDK | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TDK | 34c | 45.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked TDK | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked kONO.ECF | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed TDK | 42c | 35.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed TDK | 71c | 33.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked TDK | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked TDK | 48c | 31.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed kONO.ECF | 41c | 25.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed TDK | 40c | 25.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…92ebbacked kONO.ECF | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked kONO.ECF | 50c | 21.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed TDK | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked kONO.ECF | 62c | 17.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerkONO.ECF won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs kONO.ECF (+1.5)kONO.ECF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.