Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Robin Catry vs Alejandro Hayen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d9578e0f462115600c3cbacf8a20c4f5f21eb057b6832cc70cd7136ad9c6cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejandro Hayenof Robin Catry, Alejandro Hayen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,258 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Robin Catry | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alejandro Hayen | 35c | 1,161$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.55 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Alejandro Hayen | 19c | 1,064$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.49 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Alejandro Hayen | 14c | 850$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Robin Catry | 54c | 573$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.91 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alejandro Hayen | 8c | 466.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Robin Catry | 62c | 358.45$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Alejandro Hayen | 40c | 304.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.84 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Robin Catry | 78c | 283.26$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.21 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Robin Catry | 6c | 262$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alejandro Hayen | 48c | 254.4$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alejandro Hayen | 10c | 250.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.84 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…c3e1backed Alejandro Hayen | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alejandro Hayen | 45c | 240$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Robin Catry | 64c | 223.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alejandro Hayen | 39c | 216.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Alejandro Hayen | 46c | 215.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Robin Catry | 52c | 169.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Alejandro Hayen | 71c | 154.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Robin Catry | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Robin Catry | 60c | 123.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Robin Catry | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Robin Catry | 51c | 116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Robin Catry | 55c | 108.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Alejandro Hayen | 14c | 82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Alejandro Hayen | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Robin Catry | 53c | 75.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Alejandro Hayen | 44c | 65.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Robin Catry | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alejandro Hayen | 22c | 61.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Alejandro Hayen | 35c | 59.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Alejandro Hayen | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alejandro Hayen | 44c | 55.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Alejandro Hayen | 46c | 43.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Alejandro Hayen | 46c | 43.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Alejandro Hayen | 53c | 39.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Robin Catry | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Alejandro Hayen | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Robin Catry | 40c | 30.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alejandro Hayen | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…3231backed Alejandro Hayen | 57c | 18.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Alejandro Hayen | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morelos: Robin Catry vs Alejandro Hayenthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Catry vs HayenHayen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.