Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd903c1fcc0be5ea95f81856204b80c2cf192f1a05edf6221c788dbef74860fbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,479 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd59e…87fabacked No | 49c | 6,542$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…b4efbacked No | 49c | 6,106$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…8839backed Yes | 51c | 5,499$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412e…4a0fbacked No | 49c | 5,326$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…63a4backed No | 49c | 5,082$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…a83abacked Yes | 51c | 4,218$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…d9bbbacked Yes | 51c | 4,115$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…8ca0backed Yes | 51c | 3,735$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…7141backed Yes | 51c | 3,034$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ee3ebacked Yes | 51c | 2,455$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 10c | 600$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 10cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 582.41$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 58c | 570$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 152.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 52c | 144.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 71.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 44.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 52c | 25.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 23.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.