Europa Conference League · resolved market
HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f5f08270142650ad3d0f58f146faeae53ac26ca3aafb948f4b2eef13d88ee63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 60c | 3,752$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 2,033$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.16 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 49c | 1,368$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.34 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 1,267$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 717$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.2 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 649.52$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.31 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Over | 51c | 480.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 383.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.27 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 343$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Over | 48c | 303$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Over | 49c | 206.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed Over | 48c | 146.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Over | 42c | 73.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Under | 53c | 56.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 53c | 47.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabc1…eaa0backed Under | 52c | 38.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…8925backed Under | 52c | 37.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Under | 52c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Under | 52c | 35.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 33.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Over | 66c | 28.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 23.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…04efbacked Under | 53c | 22.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5this page
- HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 3.5Over won
- HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5)HNK Rijeka won
- Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-2.5)HNK Rijeka won
- Spread: HNK Rijeka (-1.5)HNK Rijeka won
- Spread: HNK Rijeka (-2.5)AS Omónoia Leukosías won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.