WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3962e0e788a97f66d4bbe7480d3e23bbec73fe8f5de659e85a6eb3441900c18c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 51c | 22,548$11,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,447.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 52c | 13,633$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,552.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 9,453$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.74 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 5,599$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.91 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 50c | 5,138$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 4,151$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.05 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 1,594$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.02 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.12 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 49c | 1,473$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Over | 49c | 1,329$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Over | 49c | 888.16$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Under | 51c | 858.79$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 837.67$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.59 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 50c | 605.05$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.85 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 592.62$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.46 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.23 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 498.25$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.16 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 382.45$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 49c | 361.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 51c | 299.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 52c | 239.6$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 51c | 174.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed Over | 49c | 148.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 146.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 50c | 79.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over | 52c | 68.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 61.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Under | 51c | 49.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed Under | 51c | 49.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed Under | 51c | 47.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 50c | 44.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…4159backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…14b1backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Over | 52c | 38.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…5162backed Over | 52c | 29.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 49c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 52c | 21.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 49c | 21.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.