WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f906963c54147b30a1dc6a472e53d4547f6bf7d3039987054a09b21273e28b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 12,417$6,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,041.57 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.86 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 4,400$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.93 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 2,450$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.49 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 1,752$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.68 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 1,410$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.29 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,324$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.89 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 988.25$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.01 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…afd7backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 960$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Atlanta Dream | 58c | 800$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 679.59$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 666.25$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.47 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 584.74$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.06 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 367.2$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 317.14$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 245.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 236$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 227.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 218.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…ad8cbacked Dallas Wings | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.52per pick | 66cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 96.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Atlanta Dream | 62c | 90.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 78.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 76.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 55.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 51.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 48.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 40.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…1c90backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 37.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 36.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 33.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847b…274cbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…7907backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 24.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 20.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 20.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 172.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.