South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc20bd828c2257939530e191223ce5164aad33aa8a152d321e797c37ac7c1320b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 40c | 2,871$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 69c | 1,985$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 60c | 1,643$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.27 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 74c | 1,163$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 794.12$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.92 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 38c | 764.79$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.83 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 708.44$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 38c | 654.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…5cb1backed Under | 53c | 460$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 38c | 459.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Over | 41c | 448.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 62c | 419.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 54c | 320.93$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.93 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de8…2a38backed Over | 74c | 318.38$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 37c | 315.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 248.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 245.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Over | 39c | 220.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…c943backed Over | 55c | 183.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 60c | 135$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 26c | 133.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 51c | 127.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 67c | 109.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 104.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 99.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 60c | 91.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 48c | 89.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…9242backed Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 38c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed Under | 61c | 56.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Under | 61c | 55.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Under | 61c | 55.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +93%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Under | 61c | 52.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…f6e4backed Over | 24c | 50.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Over | 40c | 46.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7006…8336backed Over | 52c | 36.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 29.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 39c | 28.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 41c | 24.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c20backed Over | 62c | 23.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 67c | 22.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5this page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.