TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Under40c104,689$41,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,060.11922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c84,417$49,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,934.9298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over61c7,200$4,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,39219345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Over61c5,221$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,207.731346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over60c4,751$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.4143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over63c3,986$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under39c1,867$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.071770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over43c1,800$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.992520%5 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c1,703$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.6934937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c1,667$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.8947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under53c936.66$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.851040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under38c932.65$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.244355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over34c881.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over47c790$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.31850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over60c659.99$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.83537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c645.98$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5733444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over60c562.7$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfea6…d837backed Over4c540$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick12cpaid+582.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over60c524.78$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.173450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Over3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdda…2408backed Over3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91e…b045backed Over3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over53c441.37$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2332334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over27c314.43$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.62222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over60c296.17$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.459257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over62c283.87$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1769065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over61c242.37$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8514755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c222.89$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2724732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over61c204.92$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over61c198.36$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081560%9 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+61.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under39c180$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.86841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2e…0433backed Under40c175.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over61c172$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.924238.1%16 W · 26 L-7.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over61c165$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.657365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Over61c164.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02d…9b64backed Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under39c130.35$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.516460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under41c122$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.982254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb672…456fbacked Over33c119.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.88850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over37c116.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.626253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under39c115$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.155156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under39c112$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.323253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over34c111.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.724946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under40c103$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8875%6 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+109.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333318.2%6 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c92.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3130954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.93458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.94355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506650%33 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over41c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.46563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f5b…ba31backed Over62c75.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over61c75.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.022544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over40c73.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.068361.4%51 W · 32 L+10.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over26c72.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under40c71.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.75785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.48per pick38cpaid+142.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over27c67.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.64459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.64050%20 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.62751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63852.6%20 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.64837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over19c59.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2713149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under67c58.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+78.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under44c56.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.752564%16 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+44.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over56c56.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.524843.8%21 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Under60c55.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.341553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.53262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5e…494fbacked Over61c49.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Over63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb72…2514backed Over60c45.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d7…2b16backed Over60c45.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…1805backed Over60c43.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe43c…ccd5backed Over60c41.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed6a…841ebacked Over61c41.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.42860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.593351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.