Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ef615bd1ef7c3c283f368e3ec23c739260f6cf4f829a973bb3becab21ea7b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 60c | 4,184$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.49 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 3,304$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.12 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,905$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.36 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,155$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.74 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes | 42c | 600.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 59c | 527.12$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.79 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 404.15$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 71c | 394.65$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed No | 42c | 366.6$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 31c | 323.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 247.74$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…9a1dbacked Yes | 59c | 219.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes | 32c | 215.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked No | 57c | 173.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 43c | 117$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 42c | 109.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 34c | 103.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Yes | 42c | 84.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Yes | 61c | 77.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 60c | 63.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 62.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 32c | 58.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 55.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…9603backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 40c | 26.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…494fbacked Yes | 59c | 25.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 60c | 24.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 45c | 22.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked Yes | 59c | 17.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed No | 72c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.