Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1be283652919cd58cf2a4ab825b5c88b732d9f636b38c6b4bf448390b5656944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 3,238$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.3 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 3,079$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.54 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Over | 40c | 1,640$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 1,133$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.88 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 73c | 1,021$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 72c | 972.67$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 51c | 794.95$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 744.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.65 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 679.71$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.47 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 579.85$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.52 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 499.7$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.23 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 32c | 498.48$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.48 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 33c | 452.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.87 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Over | 50c | 400.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 59c | 340.67$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 46c | 306.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 19c | 263.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 49c | 259.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 41c | 245.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 71c | 239.05$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.53 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 210.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 207$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Over | 51c | 188.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 54c | 183.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 54c | 179.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 24c | 168.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 64c | 156.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 60c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 49c | 121.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Over | 66c | 119.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 18c | 100.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Over | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…8438backed Over | 73c | 93.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 50c | 82.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…0d07backed Over | 49c | 82.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…fb0cbacked Under | 40c | 70.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Over | 76c | 65.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…ae3ebacked Under | 42c | 51.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…eee9backed Over | 59c | 49.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 50c | 47.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 54c | 46.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 42c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under | 36c | 30.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Under | 69c | 30.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 41c | 25.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 66c | 20.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6097…66b2backed Over | 80c | 15.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.