Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb391a47e3bbff24fd1b62e5f4936a5ac1edaae1f70c2cb5396b9bafb1473cd44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,390 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 1,551$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 42c | 549.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed No | 48c | 521.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 53c | 470.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.19 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Yes | 52c | 438.42$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Yes | 52c | 261.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Yes | 52c | 260.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed No | 48c | 231.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed No | 48c | 205.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…0d36backed Yes | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 73.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 70.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Yes | 53c | 64.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Stoke City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.