TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No66c59,065$38,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,156.493557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes0c47,003$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes31c26,660$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,260.4562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes34c16,416$5,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,604.5552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No77c15,544$11,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.414346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes34c12,600$4,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,28440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c7,860$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.41,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes29c5,200$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4851030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c4,839$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.6387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes25c3,383$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.3771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9903053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes37c2,080$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.761618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6604250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes24c1,812$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.799450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c1,751$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.0824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes7c1,534$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c87…2461backed Yes34c1,470$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes34c1,450$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.453135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c1,420$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.6329637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes34c1,373$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes7c1,349$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4211725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes32c1,205$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.814231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Yes30c1,178$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.961040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes23c1,133$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes33c1,100$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36312738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes23c1,073$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Yes32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed No77c999.99$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No74c996.88$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.193256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No75c985$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.258444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked No74c966.68$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes34c955.1$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.737946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes27c925$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes34c749.11$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.71338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes2c660.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1118847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No78c600$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13213246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No66c564.79$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes23c554.83$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.428150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes32c534.77$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.331752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes9c525.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.277632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes30c515.66$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.912744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed No66c499.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bf…231fbacked Yes35c499.74$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.372846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes19c486.18$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.596530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebae…fb79backed Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No73c413.2$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.566654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No73c413.2$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.566357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes34c410.09$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.431540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes33c409$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9745233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes35c408.59$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.011266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Yes7c404.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.332317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcee6…6ca1backed Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.449641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b4…7371backed Yes24c394.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c387.38$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9626041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No68c386.96$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.839960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No68c384.01$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1412556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No68c372.08$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.649558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes33c370.54$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3946450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes27c364.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No73c364.01$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.286051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Yes7c337.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…37b8backed Yes20c322$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes25c305.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.365046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes34c295$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.311644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.047031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Yes24c278.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.811957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes28c273.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3614544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes34c268.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.235157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes15c254.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.072718.5%5 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes8c249.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No70c246.74$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.758254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Yes24c204.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.472748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…6bffbacked Yes23c203.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9781…e481backed Yes24c202.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485046%23 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6412238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes24c198.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.724546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6866…b8f4backed Yes25c198.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes7c196.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes19c193.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.546943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No67c191.17$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb61…8687backed Yes23c190.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes17c164.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.454447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No74c162.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6810248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No74c162.83$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9915951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes34c150.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.517949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No66c149.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.851163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes34c141.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.02520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.69156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Yes35c137.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes34c135.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.142040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes35c134.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.09714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-53.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes8c134.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes36c133.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.083732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.468060%48 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes35c126.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.553154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes23c124.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.611513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed Yes34c117.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.