Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28d5ba5483f29a5c4ff19ba0e90510e10aa5b13ec5e10b3994a383235cc8b358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 1c | 37,200$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 1,780$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.83 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 26c | 934.52$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 25c | 764$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 637.85$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Yes | 16c | 620$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 537.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 361.36$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 318.92$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 74c | 318.22$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 314.86$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 24c | 306.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 271.04$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 225.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 210.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 190.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 12c | 144.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 27c | 123.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 122.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 74c | 111.84$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 26c | 103.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 26c | 101.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 17c | 95.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 11c | 94.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 25c | 49.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 45.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 41.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…ba30backed Yes | 26c | 39.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 74c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…f385backed No | 75c | 29.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 25.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…5f13backed No | 75c | 23.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.