Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f4c29a3a9fd897a325a4fe8eb7a8fcfb990f88ff07b3eef16f240be61409ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Genoa CFCof Atalanta BC, Genoa CFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Genoa CFC | 62c | 19,959$12,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,678.78 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atalanta BC | 35c | 13,835$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.8 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Atalanta BC | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Genoa CFC | 80c | 2,629$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.5 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Genoa CFC | 61c | 1,520$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.81 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Atalanta BC | 38c | 1,424$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.12 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Genoa CFC | 61c | 891.54$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.22 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atalanta BC | 32c | 611$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atalanta BC | 31c | 610.44$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…8088backed Atalanta BC | 40c | 489.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Atalanta BC | 13c | 444.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Genoa CFC | 60c | 407.8$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 335.95$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Genoa CFC | 70c | 317.48$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atalanta BC | 26c | 317.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Genoa CFC | 76c | 313.47$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Atalanta BC | 24c | 268.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Genoa CFC | 62c | 266.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Atalanta BC | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 223.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Atalanta BC | 28c | 179.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 135.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Genoa CFC | 60c | 133.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Atalanta BC | 39c | 128.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Atalanta BC | 37c | 124.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Atalanta BC | 39c | 90.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 80.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atalanta BC | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Genoa CFC | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Atalanta BC | 36c | 74.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Genoa CFC | 61c | 74.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Atalanta BC | 25c | 71.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Atalanta BC | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Atalanta BC | 30c | 59.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Atalanta BC | 36c | 57.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Atalanta BC | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 51.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Atalanta BC | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Atalanta BC | 31c | 50.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Atalanta BC | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Genoa CFC | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Genoa CFC | 60c | 49.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Genoa CFC | 62c | 45.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 41.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Genoa CFC | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Genoa CFC | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…dc65backed Atalanta BC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Genoa CFC | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Genoa CFC | 71c | 17.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.