Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d3df496faabe292f6abba73c15a852d9dc64c3280353e47cf9c8d58a2ac2872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 8,986$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.2 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 51c | 3,969$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…a189backed Over | 50c | 2,240$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 1,476$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.82 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 73c | 1,223$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.79 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 1,223$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.02 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 55c | 900$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 743.8$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.12 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 20c | 669.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 49c | 602.04$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 531$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.67 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 49c | 431.85$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.61 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 69c | 340$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 298.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 292.29$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 51c | 290.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 49c | 270$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 46c | 229.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 14c | 219.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 20c | 214.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 10c | 205.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 20c | 202.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Over | 10c | 166.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 21c | 159.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 70c | 142.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Over | 77c | 122.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Over | 79c | 120.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 80c | 106.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 38c | 105.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 23c | 101$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 46c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Under | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…f1aabacked Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 80c | 51.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 71cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 52c | 37.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 64c | 37.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 80c | 35.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 49c | 34.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e73…27a3backed Over | 80c | 33.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…4248backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 76c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…58f2backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 80c | 21.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 52c | 19.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.